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Physician workforce supply and demand projections in Florida: 2019-2035

Florida’s rising and ageing inhabitants is driving a doctor workforce demand progress of about 27%. The projected demand of physicians is forecasted to extend from 58,918 full time equivalents (FTEs) in 2019 to 74,784 FTEs by 2035.

This demand enhance is pushed largely by a inhabitants progress of 21%. Over the projection interval of 2019-2035, the inhabitants of individuals aged between 65 and 74 years previous is projected to extend by 32% and folks aged 75 and older is forecasted to extend by 74%. Consequently, demand is especially excessive for specialties that predominately deal with older sufferers.

In the meantime, there’s a 3% progress projection for workforce doctor provide from 55,083 FTEs in 2019 to 56,859 FTEs by 2035. Provide progress varies by specialty, with provide in non-primary care specialties rising at about twice the speed as main care physicians.

If present traits proceed, projected 2035 provide and demand recommend a shortfall of about 17,924 FTE physicians, that means there may be solely workforce provide enough to satisfy 77% of demand. The projected shortfall varies by specialty and Florida Medicaid area.

The authors of the research, which was sponsored by the Security Internet Hospital Alliance of Florida and the Florida Hospital Affiliation, additionally venture that the availability of superior apply nurses in Florida will practically double over this era. Provide of 29,311 FTEs in 2019 will develop to 57,780 FTEs by 2035. Latest laws in Florida has given extra apply autonomy to nurse practitioners in main care.

This research is an replace of a 2015 evaluation of the doctor workforce. The total research report may be accessed right here.

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